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Analysis: Euro’s pain is dollar’s gain as Ukraine war roils markets

Mount Equity Group Tokyo Japan > News > Markets > Analysis: Euro’s pain is dollar’s gain as Ukraine war roils markets

A new 200-euro banknote is presented at the ECB headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, September 17, 2018. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach

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NEW YORK, March 10 (Reuters) – Fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine may be setting the stage for more gains in the dollar, upending investor expectations for a weaker greenback as geopolitical uncertainty and worries over European growth raise the U.S. currency’s appeal.

The U.S. Dollar Currency Index , has surged 3% year-to-date to its highest level in 21 months, buoyed in part by investors seeking shelter from market volatility that has hammered stocks across the globe and fueled wild swings in commodity prices. Russia calls its actions in Ukraine a “special operation.”

How much further it runs may depend on the paths taken by the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank in their efforts to normalize monetary policy. While investors are…

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