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For countries nearby, the war in Ukraine represents a profound crisis of security and politics. Russia’s full-fledged invasion of its neighbor has seemingly ended an era of post-Cold War complacency in European capitals and shaken up the continent’s geopolitics. Refugees are pouring out of Ukraine, while allies are flooding the country with weapons and heavy military equipment to bolster the Ukrainian resistance. Both Russian and Ukrainian officials speak of the conflict in existential terms, as a decisive battle over the fate of their nations and the global political order. Others spy a prelude to World War III.
But the war has deeply affected countries much further afield, too. The havoc in Ukraine and the sweeping regime of…